It is actually a very good thing that Jeremiah Wright happened to Barack Obama now. It’s always better, this far out, to be down (but not out) and have upside potential, than to be peaking. In this sense, Hillary is right about helping Obama. By prolonging the primary process, she has given him time to take some hits – but she has not wiped him out – while still under the somewhat protective cover of intra-party politics.
Hillary is going nowhere, of course. Obama has got the nomination. So here, in brief, is how I predict the rest of the race for president will play out:
Obama will continue to muddle through. Lose Indiana, win NC (he won Guam over the weekend!), and eventually find himself the Democratic nominee. The Clintons will get on board, everyone will hold hands and sing, and the Dems will have a stellar and inspiring convention which will breathe life back into the Obama campaign.
Meanwhile, McCain will just be beginning to feel some heat. There will be a perfect tsunami of bad economic news confronting the admittedly clueless Republican candidate. In addition, all the dirt that is under his fingernails will start to come out. He’s going to be doing a lot of triage and spinning. The Repubs will have their convention, heavy on the war hero stuff, and it will be flat and uninspired.
There will be a few debates. They’ll be respectful, but testy at times, and won’t change much. It will get nasty on the blogs and in the media. The race will be close. But in the end, Obama will win comfortably by taking Pennsylvania and Ohio.
And that will be the beginning of the end of our long national nightmare. We will party on January 20, 2009.