Now that Obama has clinched the Democratic nomination for President, here’s how I predict the rest of the race will play out:
Hillary will quickly get on board (Obama will pay off her debt, possibly offer a cabinet position, but she won’t be his VP), everyone will hold hands and sing, and gun-toting Jim Webb will be his running mate. The vitriol on the part of Republicans, particularly on the blogs, will ratchet up. Talk that Dem women won’t support Obama will melt away as the reality of the Supreme Court confronts these pissed off feminists. The Dems will have a stellar and inspiring convention which will breathe passion and fire back into the Obama campaign.
Meanwhile, McCain will begin to feel some heat. There will be a perfect tsunami of bad economic news confronting the admittedly clueless Republican candidate. In addition, all the dirt under his fingernails will start to come out. He’s going to be doing a lot of triage and spinning. Iraq will continue to improve but Americans won’t be impressed (they know it’s an intractable quagmire). The Repubs will have their convention (with Jindal the surprise VP pick over Sarah Palin), heavy on the war hero stuff, and it will be flat and uninspired. Nevertheless, McCain will hang tough in polling.
There will be a few debates. They’ll be respectful, but testy at times, and won’t change much. It will get really nasty on the blogs and in the media. Jeremiah Wright will be back, as will McCain’s g-word and no-vote on MLK, Jr. day (and lots more too). The race will be close. But in the end, Obama will win comfortably by taking Pennsylvania and Ohio, and the Dems will solidify their hold on both houses of Congress (it will be a bloodbath).
And that will be the beginning of the end of our long national nightmare. We will party on January 20, 2009.